1. Recent Catalysts: The mass production of Optimus V3 is imminent, accelerating the humanoid robot industry.
1. Optimus V3 Mass Production: Elon Musk confirmed that Optimus V3 has completed its final design, with mass production of one million units starting in 2026. Its 26 actuators and bionic arms, combined with AI thinking, redefine the standards for dexterous hands, with the golden V2.5 serving as a preliminary model. Midea has established the world’s first multi-scenario intelligent factory in Jingzhou, Hubei, where the wheeled humanoid robot Miro is working, capable of dual-arm handling of 5 kg and providing 3 billion data feedback daily, saving 3 million man-hours by 2024.
2. The humanoid robot industry is accelerating its implementation, with manufacturers receiving large orders:
– Zhiyuan Robotics: Won a bid of 31.01 million yuan for the national-level procurement project of the Hubei Humanoid Robot Innovation Center. Previously, in July, it secured a full-size humanoid robot order from China Mobile for 78 million yuan.
– Zhiyuan Technology: Signed a three-year strategic agreement with Huike Co., Ltd. to deploy over 1,000 AlphaBot 2 units globally, covering all processes of warehousing, assembly, and quality inspection, with a single project value reaching 500 million yuan, setting a new commercial record in the industry.
– Xingyuan Intelligence: Beijing Yizhuang Robotics signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Xingyuan Intelligence, incubated by Zhiyuan Institute, leveraging government platforms and top multimodal large models to implement in five scenarios across consumption, industry, and services, including catering, hotels, elderly care, and landscaping, building a closed loop of “R&D – Scenarios – Industry” and exploring robot 4S stores, with a target of 500 million yuan in embodied intelligence orders over three years.
3. Financing in the embodied intelligence sector is accelerating: Lexiang Technology has completed three rounds of financing in ten months, with the Pre-A round receiving support from Zhongding Capital; Zivariable Robotics secured nearly 1 billion yuan in A+ round financing, with Alibaba Cloud making its first investment in the embodied intelligence sector; Xingyuan Intelligence received 200 million yuan in angel round financing, setting a new early valuation record in the embodied brain sector; Lingzu Times has received several tens of millions in Pre-A and Pre-A+ round financing, accelerating capacity expansion and global layout.
4. Value distribution in the industrial chain’s core components:
– Drive System (25%-30%): Includes actuators, servo motors, and controllers (high-precision control, integrated design).
– Transmission System (15%-20%): Includes reducers and planetary roller screws (high precision, high load, long life).
– Perception System (10%-15%): Includes sensors, cameras, and AI chips (environmental perception, real-time processing).
– Structural System (10%-15%): Includes lightweight materials and joint structural components (strength, lightweight, durability).
– Energy System (5%-10%): Includes batteries and power management systems (high energy density, long endurance).
– Software System (10%-15%): Algorithms, control systems, and AI models (self-learning, multi-task processing).
The role of the Chinese supply chain is crucial; over 60% of the core components in the first batch of 1,000 mass-produced models in 2024 will come from Chinese suppliers. Investment focus should be on the three core areas of drive, transmission, and perception, with high technical barriers and significant domestic substitution potential in niche fields such as harmonic reducers, planetary roller screws, six-dimensional force sensors, and frameless torque motors.
5. Related listed companies in the segmented industrial chain can be searched in stock software; this will not be elaborated here.
2. Using Strong Leading Strategies to Filter Targets
The robotics industry chain is in a period of rapid development, with a high overlap with the automotive parts sector. After a correction in February, the sector has recently broken through the secondary high point of May, showing an upward trend. Selection should focus on varieties that break through pressure first, have a positive trend, and attract high capital attention, which can be combined with five key factors:
1. Windfall: A sustainable windfall is core; the robot concept should be filtered using the humanoid robot concept.
2. Capital: Main forces are bullish, and super capital trends upward, helping stock prices to continue to strengthen.
3. Shape: After sufficient accumulation, the shape strengthens and breaks through, remaining above the sell line.
4. Volume and Price: Volume supports, selecting strong dragon rising signals.
5. Chips: Few trapped chips, with a profit ratio of over 80%, and a chip concentration of 15%, conducive to further strengthening of stock prices. In terms of methods, the “Ready to Launch” indicator can be used to select stocks that have completed accumulation and are about to rise, as shown in the image below:
