Tomorrow the market opens. Ever since entering a bull market, I have increasingly disliked weekends, always looking forward to Monday arriving sooner.This weekend, there was some good news related to our holdings, and the chip war has begun again.
Do you remember the last semiconductor chip war? It caused the semiconductor sector index to soar fivefold, from 806 points to 4019 points.
In fact, as long as we don’t perish, we will ultimately become stronger. Does anyone believe that domestically produced semiconductor chips will fail? I certainly don’t.Therefore, we can continue to hold our positions in this direction. Not to say that this time it will also increase fivefold, breaking the previous high, but that is the absolute minimum standard. From any logical perspective, a new high is inevitable.However, if you haven’t positioned yourself earlier, then at this point, you can only choose to enter at a lower level, which belongs to the type where persistence brings hope. I estimate that many people won’t be able to hold on. After all, no matter how good the future potential is, who can resist the temptation of stocks that are currently rising?Perhaps only during a bear market would I advise otherwise. But now that we are in a bull market, with many stock gods emerging, I won’t be annoying by preaching; respecting each person’s fate is the greatest freedom.This weekend, I found a few people I hadn’t spoken to all year coming to ask me for good stocks. I initially wanted to reply, but then thought better of it; it’s better to avoid unnecessary trouble.In a bull market, people are restless. Whether the selected stocks fall or rise slowly, such people will not have a sense of gratitude; it’s best not to provoke them.Back to the main topic, let’s discuss the current market situation.Index Analysis
From the daily chart of the Shanghai Composite Index, we are at a critical point. This week will determine whether we break upwards or form a consolidation center; we just need to wait for the market to make a choice.If it goes up, that would be best. Standing above 4079 before any adjustments would be the most prudent approach.If it goes down, there is nothing to worry about as long as the lower boundary of the range is not broken; such adjustments are inconsequential.
As for the 5-minute level, we are currently in a state of strong bearish pressure.If it breaks below the purple horizontal line tomorrow, the index will confirm a downward structure at the 5-minute level. If it continues to break new highs, then this 5-minute upward structure can continue to extend.Strictly speaking, as long as it does not fall back below this central point, the 5-minute upward structure can be repaired at any time by a strong bullish candle.In summary, there is no significant risk at this index level. Even if there are minor adjustments, it is inconsequential; why not just endure it?Sector Analysis:We will continue to focus on semiconductors. Although there was good news over the weekend, whether it can break through still depends on the market’s capital attitude.
From the daily structure, both upward breakthroughs and downward adjustments are reasonable, so we don’t need to guess tomorrow’s rise or fall.Because whether tomorrow rises or falls, the daily upward structure remains intact, showing no signs of peaking or forming a right-side sell signal.Next is the media and entertainment sector, which also had some stimulating news over the weekend, but it is not as widely known as semiconductors, and this sector is inherently much smaller.
From the daily structure, it has basically broken through the pressure zone and may accelerate upwards at any time.However, there is also a problem here: some stocks have already risen, while others have not. What to do?If you want to be aggressive, look for stocks that have started to gain volume in the past few days, meaning those that have already risen. If the sector index accelerates successfully, these stocks will naturally start to move with the trend. If the sector index fails to accelerate again, the adjustment space for these stocks may be slightly larger; risk and profit are always proportional.If you want to be conservative, then just look for stocks near the daily support level, pick one that looks good to you, buy it, and wait. There’s no need for anything too complicated; success depends on human effort, but the outcome is in the hands of fate.Sometimes, the more one pursues perfection, the easier it is to fall into small-level traps, ultimately being swayed by market emotions, leading to daily distress.Finally, let’s talk about the North Exchange, which has been deceiving investors. It has adjusted back to the area of concentrated transactions and can start to reach new highs again.
From the daily structure, the North Exchange’s movement is still in a state of accumulation. This direction will inevitably experience a crazy acceleration and surge; whether we can hold on depends on everyone’s patience.I can only say that if you adopt the strategy of holding onto stocks with main rising potential, you will inevitably see a significant profit wave.If you adopt a short-term emotional trading strategy, the losses from chasing after the real acceleration phase may be substantial, as this direction is inherently volatile; it can rise sharply and fall just as dramatically.There’s not much else to say; there are still many opportunities in the market, but this requires us to think calmly, filtering out emotional noise, and not following the crowd.The bull market continues; good luck!