Today, I exposed some of my shortcomings.My mental inertia, lack of clarity in thinking, and insufficient detail in reviewing led to an embarrassing situation of “knowing only one side and not the other,” where I acted too smart for my own good.
Last week, knowing that low-priced stocks were relatively strong, I chose to ambush with the 20cm elastic stock of Te Fa Service for arbitrage. Yesterday, I made a small profit.
Knowing that low-priced stocks were strong, and with Shoukai Co. actively breaking regulations, I hastily chose to arbitrage low-priced stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange again, without actively buying the leading stocks or thinking about any new themes for low-priced stocks to arbitrage. As a result, today, this Beijing Stock Exchange is still in the red.1. Shoukai is: low-priced stocks (relying on sector trends), 10cm, consecutive boards, robots, and the real estate sector.2. Low prices are the latest style, with a good trend, and before today, there was no peak, while the prosperity direction has already reached a point of general height: this indicates a growing intention of high-low switching. This includes sectors that are not in a prosperous direction, such as non-ferrous metals, aquaculture, and real estate, which have shown good profit effects.3. Yesterday, I greatly emphasized the unified market. In fact, what this theme is fundamentally does not matter, whether it is old or new does not matter, what matters is that it is very low. So, look for low prices and pick the ones that look good: Yiyaton, Gongxiao Daji, Xinning Logistics, Feima International.4. Yesterday’s review:
I judged that the price would find its way back, but I did not observe carefully; the momentum for the price to return is actually limited: yesterday, technology stocks led overseas, actively adjusting for two days, all with reduced volume and basically no emotional fluctuations, and the market was also with reduced volume, indicating a combination of low expectations and low reality. Therefore, combined with the expected wide channel of the index, there exists a combination of both, and the extent of the price’s return is limited, further inducing the price to chase upwards.Today is such a situation.1. Market OverviewBefore the market opened, Tesla continued to have favorable news, domestic AI was favorable, and the unified market was greatly emphasized in the consumer sector. The bidding for metals opened high, and there were movements in futures, with the market collectively cashing out, including aquaculture. The narrative of interest rate cuts is a problem I do not understand, I will check later.AI hardware opened with a recovery, and robots also surged at the opening. In speculation, low-priced stocks were very strong in bidding, such as Shanghai Construction. Shoukai quickly sealed off after opening and began to reduce volume. Various low-priced stocks also surged collectively. From 10 to 11, the price adjusted and volume gradually increased, after which it basically continued to rise with quantitative push. In the afternoon, there was some chasing of emotions, but not much.Robots actively pulled past the morning high after 11:20, reaching a peak in the afternoon. The logic of low-priced stocks is evident, and Shoukai has become the king, establishing a new style.》》》 Price: +1.14. New high.Breaking the narrow fluctuations at high positions for two consecutive days.
》》》 Slight increase in volume. Price adjustment +3507, broad rise.
》》》 Rise and fall sectors:Rise: Robots (auto parts), unified market, general AI hardware, internet platform economy (should be negotiation plus consumption, unified market), real estate (leading extension).
Decline: Aquaculture, metals, film and television media.
》》》 New high in a hundred days: Robots continue to surge. Today it has also become evident. Similar to solid-state. After the AI counterattack, there was a reduction in volume and internal rotation, with a better trend of capital flow and relatively lower prices, stimulated by Tesla.
》》》 The low-priced stock index continues, with a major repair of consecutive boards.
The style of the Beijing Stock Exchange is no longer present.
High trading volume and high position fluctuations are still acceptable. The excess premium is gone.
2. Today’s Qualitative AnalysisVolume: 23414 billion (+640 billion, slight increase in volume))Rise and fall: +3507 companies (small adjustments after two days of counterattack. The rebound cycle started on 9.5. After last Thursday’s big rise, it continued to attack on the third day.)Price: +1.14 (medium bullish line. High position area, reaching a new high.)Highest board: 4 (the core is Shoukai, after two weak turns to strong, today is even stronger. Tags: small cap, 10cm consecutive boards, low price, real estate, robots)Rise and fall limits, retracement: 70, 1, 1Style:Low-priced stock speculation; Large-cap ETF style trendCycle theory: low expectations, strong realityQualitative:Volume range 3.2 to 1.9; price transitionWide channel; price top area, 9.5Small cycle continues.Speculation should pay attention to the strength of the trend, act cautiously, and avoid going for the obvious. Looking at the end of today, the emotions are still relatively restrained, with no volume increase, and those in CPO did not chase, and the brokerages are limited in movement, while some high transaction vehicles are still in disagreement (Wolong, Liao, Yanshan). There is still a possibility of emotional chasing tomorrow.Observe the strength of the chase, as well as the situation of CPO and other overseas hard-name leaders/robots, and the acceptance of low-priced + consecutive boards in speculation.3. Sectors and Individual Stocks1. Mainstream: High prosperity. The hardware sentiment led by CPO has not been chased, with no bubbles + it is an institutional trend stock + bull market liquidity is abundant + there is no new narrative, leading to an unusually tangled top. Funds are constantly switching internally.a. AI: Poor. Only low-cost absorption is possible, chasing high, especially non-starting chasing high, will be uncomfortable. It can be seen that the three leaders are still very stable, following the index fluctuations during the day. Some new logic, old recognizability, and mid-low position stocks showed strong internal strength and repeated prosperity today: pure technology, Cambridge Technology, Loongson Zhongke, Demingli, Zhongke Shuguang, Haiguang Information.Today, the core stocks are still very stable, with little emotion.
Overseas: Invech, Industrial Women’s Federation, Shenghong Technology, Yi ZhongtianDomestic:Cambricon, Dongxin Wish Short-term strength: Corgi, Cambridge, Shuguang, Haiguang, Founder Technology, Demingli, Loongson Zhongkeb.Robots are surging in volume, leading to a peak. Yesterday and over the weekend, I reviewed and saw that the internal strength here is very strong, with low expectations and high reality, and I have been looking for short-term focus. As a result, they did not focus and directly hit the peak. Today, it has already risen significantly, with the only two boards being low-priced additions, Wanxiang Qianchao, leading Shoukai, and adding robot attributes. Referencing solid-state, there will be a return later.
c.Solid-state light storage is poor: the overall sector is retreating, actively cashing out, and individual stocks are in speculation. Not much to watch.Observation: Ningde, Sunshine, Tianji, Leading Intelligent d. Innovative drugs are poor: There are turbulent winds in Hong Kong stocks. There are recognized loopholes in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, with short-term speculation of 10 times, allowing the Hong Kong Stock Connect pharmaceutical ETF to be passively configured.Keep tracking CRO. Can your robots do it, but my drugs can’t??? However, we need to wait for a price to lead and a news node.
Observation: Zhaoyan Pharmaceutical, Kanglong Chemical, Medici, HaoyuanMainstream speculation direction “通” has been confirmed: Shoukai Jishi Media, Tags: low price, 10cm consecutive boards/real estate, robotsShoukai can be said to have the right timing, location, and people…It has opened up a new style.Any starting theme can first hit low prices.2. Non-mainstream directionsa. Metals: Internal rotation, closely following futures, large caps are generally.Today, there was a big drop, but in the afternoon, there seems to be a stabilization. The repeated speculation of interest rate cuts. The narrative is not here.b. Real estate: Mainly low-priced small stocks, the sector trend is very good, but large caps are generally. Shoukai Co., Xiangjiang Holdings, Shanghai Construction.c. Aquaculture, consumption: Aquaculture dropped significantly during the day, while consumption is still okay, with news released in the evening.Yiyaton Gongxiao Dajid. Shipping:China Merchants Shippingc. Chemicals: Oriental Iron Tower, Changhua Chemicale.Independent logic and collective carriers:Wolong Jishi Media, Shanghai Electric Power, Liao, Yanshan 4. Predictions, Verification, and Response1. Index at high position area. Stocks that have fully played out and accelerated should not be speculated; be cautious during intraday pulse.Today, with low expectations and high reality, emotions may further chase tomorrow, and expectations may go down. Need to observe whether the volume increases and the price acceptance situation.2. Sectors: Focus on low-priced +, which has completed its transformation. Today, the first generation and Kai (Shenkai Co.) have also brought up some, is it a bit early? Observation: AI hardware prices, CRO3. Personal: Copper, I sold at a high point after the bidding ended. I have not moved the low-priced Beijing Stock Exchange, if it does not work tomorrow, I will sell. In the afternoon, I bought Tianfeng at a low price, with not much expectation, after all, finance has no space.Tomorrow will be a high-difficulty speculation: pure theme initiation can be considered.